Failure of Pakistani security forces: Terror wave rises in Balochistan

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In the first six months of 2025, Balochistan has plunged into one of its bloodiest periods in recent memory, as the province reels under an intensifying wave of violence, abductions, and insurgent attacks. 

A chilling report from the Balochistan Home Department, covering the period from January 1 to June 30, reveals the stark deterioration in security, marked by a 45% rise in terrorist incidents and an alarming 100% increase in targeted killings.

A total of 501 terrorist incidents were recorded during this six-month window—resulting in 297 fatalities, including 133 members of the security forces, and 492 injuries, among them 238 security personnel. 

These statistics lay bare a crisis that Pakistan’s security apparatus seems increasingly ill-equipped to handle.

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Balochistan bleeds: A province under siege

The resurgence in militant activity, largely attributed to separatist groups like the Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) and the Baloch Liberation Front (BLF), has redefined the security landscape of Pakistan’s largest but most troubled province. 

These groups have carried out coordinated attacks on military convoys, paramilitary outposts, and infrastructure projects—especially those linked to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC).

The growing sophistication and frequency of these assaults indicate that insurgent outfits are not only regrouping but thriving under the nose of Pakistan’s extensive military presence in the region. 

The Balochistan government itself has admitted that 133 security personnel have been killed in separatist attacks—a staggering number that underscores the vulnerability of even heavily armed state forces.

Targeted killing epidemic

What is particularly alarming is the 100% increase in targeted killings. 

Civil society activists, local leaders, students, and even doctors have found themselves in the crosshairs. 

These targeted killings are not random acts of violence; they are surgical strikes aimed at silencing dissent, instilling fear, and crippling the province’s already fragile social fabric.

The rise in such killings suggests a systemic failure of intelligence-gathering, operational preparedness, and governance. 

It is not merely a failure of military strategy—it’s a collapse of the state’s ability to provide basic security to its citizens.

Disappearance crisis: A nation’s shame

If the physical toll of violence is horrifying, the psychological torment inflicted through enforced disappearances is even more damning. 

According to the Commission of Inquiry on Enforced Disappearances (COIED), 125 new cases of enforced disappearances were reported across Pakistan during the first half of 2025, with only 36 cases reported from Balochistan.

However, data from the Baloch Yekjehti Committee (BYC), a grassroots organisation working with the families of missing persons, contradicts these official figures. 

The BYC claims that 752 individuals were forcibly disappeared in Balochistan during the same period. Of these, 181 individuals were later recovered, 25 were found dead, and a disturbing 546 remain unaccounted for.

This discrepancy between official and independent figures is not just statistical—it is moral. 

It points to an entrenched culture of impunity, where state institutions are either complicit or willfully blind to the sufferings of Baloch families. 

The culture of silence, aided by media blackouts and fear of reprisal, has allowed this humanitarian crisis to fester unchecked.

A government on the defensive

The Balochistan Home Department’s half-yearly report—intended perhaps as a gesture of transparency—only ends up reinforcing public disillusionment. 

The figures may have been disclosed, but the absence of accountability, strategic clarity, and political will to confront the crisis remains glaring.

Even within the bureaucracy, there is quiet acknowledgement that the Balochistan government is often rendered powerless—trapped between the orders of Islamabad and the operations of powerful military intelligence agencies that operate with little oversight. 

The result is a volatile security environment where insurgents operate with growing confidence and citizens live in fear.

New insurgent offensive

What sets 2025 apart is the scale and coordination of insurgent attacks. 

The Baloch Liberation Army and Baloch Liberation Front have stepped up their campaigns, transitioning from hit-and-run tactics to more sustained and multi-pronged assaults. 

Security convoys are being ambushed with IEDs, while strategic installations like gas pipelines and communications infrastructure have come under repeated attack.

Despite repeated military operations aimed at “clearing” militant strongholds, the insurgency has not only survived but also evolved. 

Collapsing trust, rising anger

For ordinary Baloch citizens, trust in the state has long since eroded. 

Every targeted killing, every disappeared student, and every insurgent attack met with retaliatory operations only adds fuel to the cycle of rage and rebellion.

The government’s failure to even acknowledge the scale of disappearances, let alone address them meaningfully, deepens the sense of alienation. 

The Baloch youth, raised in an environment of occupation and resistance, are increasingly turning toward militancy—not out of ideology, but desperation.

There are now entire generations in Balochistan who have never known peace, only the trauma of army raids, checkpoints, funerals, and unanswered questions.

A failing security doctrine

Pakistan’s security establishment has long viewed Balochistan through a narrow militaristic lens, relying on brute force rather than engagement. 

But this strategy has yielded little beyond body counts and growing insurgent strength. 

The emphasis on militarisation over dialogue has not only failed to bring stability but has amplified the insurgency, giving it a cause, a narrative, and a constituency.

Moreover, the state’s information blackout and restriction on press access in Balochistan have allowed only partial glimpses of the crisis to reach the national conscience. 

When journalists and human rights defenders raise their voices, they are often met with threats or disappearances themselves.

National implications

The crisis in Balochistan is not just a provincial issue—it is a national security failure. 

With key infrastructure projects such as Gwadar Port and CPEC corridors running through the province, continued instability threatens the economic backbone of Pakistan’s future.

Furthermore, the human rights abuses—especially the vast number of missing persons—invite international scrutiny and condemnations. 

Pakistan cannot aspire to global legitimacy while turning a blind eye to systematic oppression in its own backyard.

In a nation where denial has become policy and brutality is often mistaken for control, Balochistan stands as a tragic emblem of what happens when a state loses both its moral compass and operational grip. 

The rising terror wave is not just a symptom of insurgency—it is an indictment of failure, and every statistic tells a story soaked in blood and neglect.

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