As the Russia-Ukraine war drags on, analysts say China is keenly watching the conflict that has raged over the past four months, in order to draw lessons for a possible invasion of Taiwan. happen.
Latest phone conversation between Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin on June 15 highlighting the growing relationship between the two countries after Ukraine conflict.
Mr. Xi on his 69th birthday is called Vladimir Putin reassured the Russian leader that “bilateral relations have maintained a good momentum in the face of global uncertainties and changes.”
The Chinese President’s pledge to support Moscow on “sovereignty and security” is tantamount to the Chinese leader dismissing any earlier warnings from the West that China risks causing great reputational damage. by not condemning Kremlin.But more worrisome for Western leaders is that Xi continues to ease further, pledging to further deepen strategic coordination between the two countries. Writing for Providence Jianli . magazine Positive and Yan Yu, argue that Xi must accelerate the internationalization of the renminbi (RMB) and build an international trade network based on it that is not entangled in the US dollar (USD).
They say Mr. Xi must also pressure and support CCP political families and oligarchs who are tight-lipped about transferring or shielding assets abroad to do so. “The longer they wait, the more they are inclined to turn against Xi due to the losses they will incur from the substantial sanctions imposed by Western countries.”
Yang and Yu point out that one of the main reasons why the US and NATO has so far ignored the invasion of Ukraine as Putin’s nuclear threats. “The lesson that other nations have learned is certainly that nuclear threats work.”
“If a Chinese attempt to invade Taiwan also enters a stalemate, preventing China’s domestic anti-war activists from using international public opinion to enhance their power and promote political change should be avoided. governance could be Xi’s top priority,” they added.Regardless of which side wins the Russia-Ukraine war, Yang and Yu say as long as Putin lives, it’s in the Xi regime’s best interest, because Moscow will continue to attract the attention of the democratic world to its long-term threats. .
“In order to mitigate the positive effects of Xi’s influence, Western powers such as the United States and the EU should effectively counter the brutal expansionism of autocrats by providing full support to them.” enough for Ukraine to help Ukraine quickly win the war, thus making the substantive unification of the democratic world a decisive military factor,” they added.